Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.912123 1.028229 1.154962 1.303809 1.474150 1.663358 1.889935
2024-12-29 0.736370 0.893597 1.079699 1.317273 1.613982 1.974236 2.447690
2025-01-05 0.626782 0.797970 1.011639 1.299926 1.681776 2.174431 2.864991
2025-01-12 0.551876 0.730365 0.962954 1.291343 1.748014 2.367911 3.285555
2025-01-19 0.478064 0.653151 0.889563 1.236196 1.738334 2.449880 3.553456
2025-01-26 0.442570 0.622869 0.874548 1.256930 1.832743 2.682912 4.062137
2025-02-02 0.413909 0.598431 0.863921 1.280658 1.931052 2.928720 4.616926
2025-02-09 0.385674 0.571335 0.845890 1.289860 2.005856 3.143567 5.145777
2025-02-16 0.360374 0.545955 0.827433 1.295347 2.073447 3.351519 5.685924
2025-02-23 0.342326 0.529872 0.821344 1.318975 2.171506 3.617948 6.358330
2025-03-02 0.314495 0.495851 0.783670 1.286539 2.170627 3.713679 6.732704
2025-03-09 0.301272 0.484223 0.781004 1.312252 2.272084 3.998405 7.494062
2025-03-16 0.280715 0.459261 0.754826 1.295953 2.298889 4.154314 8.035379
2025-03-23 0.267057 0.444869 0.745360 1.308338 2.379489 4.419690 8.833815
2025-03-30 0.249892 0.423035 0.721095 1.291214 2.401937 4.574185 9.421171
2025-04-06 0.235672 0.405258 0.702498 1.282685 2.439604 4.761981 10.104952
2025-04-13 0.215974 0.376288 0.661552 1.227947 2.379776 4.743702 10.326195
2025-04-20 0.208505 0.368951 0.659603 1.248528 2.474591 5.058552 11.355849
2025-04-27 0.201946 0.362780 0.659269 1.272080 2.577653 5.402324 12.505202
2025-05-04 0.194019 0.353460 0.652194 1.281214 2.650618 5.687503 13.553893
2025-05-11 0.186213 0.343819 0.643748 1.286660 2.715844 5.962150 14.617753
2025-05-18 0.180968 0.338763 0.643894 1.310113 2.823475 6.347695 16.032839
2025-05-25 0.170054 0.321846 0.619145 1.277918 2.800620 6.418664 16.608862